Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 4.334493e-01 0.569020 0.724257 0.912739 1.132971 1.379843 1.675130
2025-11-09 2.376836e-01 0.394960 0.602737 0.886019 1.250986 1.694740 2.264124
2025-11-16 1.466105e-01 0.310263 0.558050 0.931225 1.450516 2.120864 3.024106
2025-11-23 8.312926e-02 0.233532 0.497405 0.935361 1.588918 2.477064 3.722869
2025-11-30 5.358145e-02 0.197697 0.485645 1.002370 1.815202 2.961466 4.615034
2025-12-07 3.206947e-02 0.162694 0.462419 1.042918 2.001720 3.399257 5.465041
2025-12-14 1.710666e-02 0.129113 0.428928 1.056574 2.143358 3.777167 6.246577
2025-12-21 7.408749e-03 0.096843 0.384305 1.038863 2.228399 4.072307 6.920076
2025-12-28 3.181250e-03 0.077535 0.361230 1.055361 2.367434 4.451085 7.723353
2026-01-04 9.931416e-04 0.060101 0.334135 1.056860 2.477641 4.787564 8.473539
2026-01-11 1.124737e-04 0.042467 0.295145 1.023458 2.519975 5.016543 9.069493
2026-01-18 2.042848e-07 0.030052 0.264125 0.999957 2.575284 5.265188 9.699201
2026-01-25 NaN 0.022648 0.247437 1.008890 2.695091 5.628652 10.523161
2026-02-01 NaN 0.014389 0.216562 0.973963 2.725700 5.845665 11.129701
2026-02-08 NaN 0.011911 0.215340 1.018961 2.918943 6.342576 12.183616
2026-02-15 NaN 0.008282 0.200528 1.021710 3.025111 6.694573 13.019216
2026-02-22 NaN 0.007535 0.207893 1.092049 3.276723 7.304462 14.274817
2026-03-01 NaN 0.006084 0.206411 1.134622 3.471481 7.821026 15.392608
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004283 0.196714 1.148871 3.605616 8.235074 16.354984
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002445 0.178464 1.129975 3.664903 8.517823 17.111653
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001611 0.171260 1.147408 3.805552 8.948856 18.115397
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000904 0.160497 1.148967 3.909297 9.315232 19.019509
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000316 0.141598 1.113537 3.923791 9.518555 19.659660